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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.50+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.40+0.54vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.12+0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09-2.15vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.79+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-3.32-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Hawaii0.400.2%1st Place
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3.13University of California at Santa Barbara-0.120.1%1st Place
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1.85University of Hawaii1.090.5%1st Place
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5.16Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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5.35University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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6.42University of California at Los Angeles-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 10.9% | 14.5% | 20.7% | 25.8% | 20.5% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Malia Johnson | 22.9% | 30.1% | 25.9% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Cristina Jackson | 14.1% | 19.0% | 25.8% | 25.7% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 47.4% | 28.5% | 16.7% | 6.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Welker | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 12.8% | 29.5% | 33.3% | 13.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 11.5% | 25.4% | 37.6% | 16.5% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 17.6% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.