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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.86vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.40+0.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.12+0.13vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.40vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.79+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-3.32+0.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.99-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86University of Hawaii1.090.5%1st Place
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2.51University of Hawaii0.400.2%1st Place
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3.13University of California at Santa Barbara-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.6University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.14Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Los Angeles-3.320.0%1st Place
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5.24University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 49.1% | 27.4% | 14.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 23.0% | 31.8% | 23.9% | 14.6% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cristina Jackson | 13.4% | 18.6% | 29.1% | 23.3% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 9.4% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 29.6% | 20.3% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Erin Welker | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 12.5% | 30.3% | 31.4% | 13.8% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 16.8% | 71.9% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 11.1% | 24.1% | 40.3% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.