← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.09+0.84vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii0.40+0.50vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.62vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.12-0.89vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-1.99+0.37vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University-1.79-0.88vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-3.32-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.84University of Hawaii1.090.5%1st Place
-
2.5University of Hawaii0.400.2%1st Place
-
3.62University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
-
3.11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.120.2%1st Place
-
5.37University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
-
5.12Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
6.44University of California at Los Angeles-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 48.4% | 28.8% | 15.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 22.9% | 32.5% | 23.5% | 14.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 8.6% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 29.4% | 19.2% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Cristina Jackson | 15.1% | 18.6% | 26.2% | 24.1% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 24.9% | 37.6% | 17.7% |
| Erin Welker | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 29.5% | 34.0% | 11.4% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 17.1% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.