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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+7.51vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+8.58vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.06+5.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.70+4.91vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+2.73vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.36+0.23vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.31-0.62vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80+0.55vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.65+0.24vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-2.15vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93+1.26vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.43-5.76vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.01vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-5.62vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.35-4.52vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-5.85vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.48-6.90vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.73-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.73Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.55Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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10.24Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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13.26University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.24Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.99SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.38Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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11.48Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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11.1University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Sam Williams | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% |
| Colin Smith | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| James Simmons | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 26.6% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
| Olin Davis | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.