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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.15+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.90+0.40vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.81vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.75+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-1.14-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Hawaii1.150.3%1st Place
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2.4University of Hawaii0.900.3%1st Place
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2.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.3%1st Place
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4.09Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 31.3% | 31.3% | 25.7% | 9.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 28.5% | 24.8% | 29.3% | 13.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 32.3% | 30.3% | 26.2% | 9.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 36.4% | 33.1% | 7.7% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 25.1% | 43.0% | 17.9% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 5.8% | 17.4% | 73.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.