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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.50+1.30vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.40-0.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36-0.81vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.79-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-3.32-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77University of Hawaii1.090.5%1st Place
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3.3University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
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2.37University of Hawaii0.400.3%1st Place
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3.19University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.1%1st Place
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4.65Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Los Angeles-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 50.4% | 29.3% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 10.1% | 17.3% | 23.4% | 32.1% | 15.9% | 1.2% |
| Malia Johnson | 25.1% | 32.0% | 26.8% | 13.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 11.9% | 15.8% | 27.6% | 32.0% | 11.5% | 1.2% |
| Erin Welker | 2.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 13.9% | 56.0% | 16.0% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 13.2% | 81.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.