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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.77vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.40+0.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36-0.82vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.79-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-3.32-0.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77University of Hawaii1.090.5%1st Place
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2.37University of Hawaii0.400.3%1st Place
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3.31University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
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3.18University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.1%1st Place
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4.66Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Los Angeles-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 49.9% | 29.7% | 15.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Malia Johnson | 26.5% | 31.3% | 25.2% | 13.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 10.5% | 15.1% | 24.5% | 34.4% | 14.2% | 1.3% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 10.8% | 18.4% | 26.8% | 30.9% | 12.0% | 1.1% |
| Erin Welker | 1.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 56.2% | 16.0% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 13.3% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.