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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+8.33vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.80+6.09vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.26+6.95vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.36+6.08vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.07+7.33vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+2.96vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.07-0.10vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.17-0.60vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.45+1.36vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-5.91vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.84-2.75vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.99+0.39vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.24vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.79-5.75vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.01-2.89vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.31-6.18vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.16-4.51vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.18-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.33Tulane University1.735.0%1st Place
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8.09Georgetown University1.807.0%1st Place
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9.95College of Charleston1.264.3%1st Place
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10.08Boston College1.364.1%1st Place
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12.33George Washington University1.072.1%1st Place
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8.96Brown University1.695.7%1st Place
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6.9Stanford University2.078.3%1st Place
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7.4Harvard University2.177.6%1st Place
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10.36Dartmouth College1.453.5%1st Place
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4.09Yale University2.4220.6%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College1.846.8%1st Place
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12.39University of South Florida0.992.1%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.2%1st Place
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8.25Cornell University1.796.2%1st Place
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12.11Tufts University1.012.2%1st Place
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9.82Roger Williams University1.314.2%1st Place
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12.49University of Pennsylvania1.162.1%1st Place
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11.46Northeastern University1.182.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
| Emily Doble | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 16.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Ellie Harned | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.6% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 16.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.