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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.53+4.38vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.98+2.65vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+1.25vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.85-2.08vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont4.10-2.22vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.07+0.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.08-0.69vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-0.54vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut2.51-4.57vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.83-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Brown University2.530.1%1st Place
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4.65Bowdoin College2.980.1%1st Place
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4.25Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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1.92Yale University4.850.5%1st Place
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2.78University of Vermont4.100.2%1st Place
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6.24Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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5.43University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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9.59Wesleyan University-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Harvey | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Leah Hughes | 7.0% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.8% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Barrows | 45.3% | 29.7% | 16.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ambrose Gosling | 22.6% | 28.3% | 20.6% | 14.5% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Keller | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 25.9% | 10.4% | 1.1% |
| Chris Grabe | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 21.9% | 10.0% | 1.6% |
| Nate Olsen | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 52.3% | 19.2% |
| Sean Andrew | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Gabriel Elder | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 15.5% | 76.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.