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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+7.52vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College4.15+6.30vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+4.09vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.36+3.08vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.73+4.78vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+2.81vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80+2.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.70+1.93vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+1.32vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-1.08vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.06-2.37vs Predicted
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12Washington College3.65-1.38vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-0.93vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.48-4.32vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University4.31-8.70vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.78-7.24vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.35-6.32vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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8.3SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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8.81Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.62Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.92St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.63Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.62Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.68University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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11.68Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Olin Davis | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Colin Smith | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Sam Williams | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% |
| James Simmons | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 24.2% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.