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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+8.68vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.58+2.92vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+2.30vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.03+2.54vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.70+4.06vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.96+0.93vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.93+1.33vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.90-0.01vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.80-0.13vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.13+1.39vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.20-4.92vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-2.65vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.57-4.39vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25-4.20vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.73-3.90vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.36-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.68Tufts University1.513.5%1st Place
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4.92Boston College2.5814.5%1st Place
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5.3Roger Williams University2.4013.8%1st Place
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6.54Brown University2.039.7%1st Place
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9.06Yale University1.704.0%1st Place
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6.93Cornell University1.967.4%1st Place
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8.33University of Miami1.935.5%1st Place
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7.99Harvard University1.906.5%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island1.805.5%1st Place
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11.39Fordham University1.131.9%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University2.2010.8%1st Place
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9.35North Carolina State University1.094.0%1st Place
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8.61North Carolina State University1.575.1%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.253.2%1st Place
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11.1Bowdoin College0.732.9%1st Place
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12.06University of Wisconsin0.361.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
| Peter Busch | 14.5% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Martins Atilla | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Alex Adams | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Declan Botwinick | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 20.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 16.7% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.