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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.21+2.17vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.33-0.06vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.79-0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.28-0.93vs Predicted
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5Rice University-0.95-0.70vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.21-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Texas A&M University0.210.1%1st Place
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1.94Northwestern University1.330.4%1st Place
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2.51Clemson University0.790.3%1st Place
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3.07University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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4.3Rice University-0.950.0%1st Place
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3.17Texas A&M University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Morse | 13.7% | 17.4% | 23.9% | 28.0% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Smith | 43.4% | 29.1% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 25.6% | 25.8% | 25.1% | 18.9% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 13.8% | 20.9% | 22.8% | 29.3% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Unger | 3.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 63.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Morse | 13.7% | 17.4% | 23.9% | 28.0% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.