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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+0.97vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.21+1.17vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.79-0.51vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.28-0.92vs Predicted
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5Rice University-0.95-0.71vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.21-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Northwestern University1.330.4%1st Place
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3.17Texas A&M University0.210.1%1st Place
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2.49Clemson University0.790.3%1st Place
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3.08University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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4.29Rice University-0.950.0%1st Place
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3.17Texas A&M University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 44.1% | 27.4% | 18.0% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Morse | 12.3% | 17.8% | 25.2% | 29.7% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 25.2% | 27.8% | 24.5% | 18.2% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 14.3% | 19.6% | 23.5% | 28.7% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Unger | 4.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 64.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Morse | 12.3% | 17.8% | 25.2% | 29.7% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.