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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.21+2.18vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+0.51vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.28+0.05vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.33-2.06vs Predicted
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5Rice University-0.95-0.68vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.21-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Texas A&M University0.210.1%1st Place
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2.51Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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3.05University of Texas0.280.2%1st Place
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1.94Northwestern University1.330.4%1st Place
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4.32Rice University-0.950.0%1st Place
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3.18Texas A&M University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Morse | 13.3% | 17.7% | 23.5% | 29.0% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 23.4% | 28.9% | 25.7% | 17.1% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 15.4% | 19.2% | 22.9% | 29.9% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Smith | 44.4% | 28.5% | 18.1% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Unger | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 64.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Morse | 13.3% | 17.7% | 23.5% | 29.0% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.