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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+0.75vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.21+0.74vs Predicted
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3Rice University-0.95+0.74vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79-1.85vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-2.13-0.38vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.21-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Northwestern University1.330.5%1st Place
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2.74Texas A&M University0.210.1%1st Place
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3.74Rice University-0.950.1%1st Place
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2.15Clemson University0.790.3%1st Place
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4.62University of Texas-2.130.0%1st Place
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2.74Texas A&M University0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 49.9% | 31.1% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Morse | 14.4% | 22.6% | 40.3% | 19.7% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Unger | 5.2% | 7.6% | 16.0% | 50.8% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 29.3% | 36.6% | 24.3% | 8.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Herrada | 1.2% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 16.1% | 75.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Morse | 14.4% | 22.6% | 40.3% | 19.7% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.