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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.03+5.71vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+7.87vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.36+9.04vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.70+4.88vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.40+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.80+2.97vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.90+0.94vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.58-3.25vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.12+0.64vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51-0.41vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.96-4.06vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.57-3.44vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.73-2.04vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.93-5.75vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.13-3.69vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.20-9.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Brown University2.038.8%1st Place
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9.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.253.6%1st Place
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12.04University of Wisconsin0.361.8%1st Place
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8.88Yale University1.705.2%1st Place
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5.39Roger Williams University2.4012.5%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island1.804.5%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University1.905.5%1st Place
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4.75Boston College2.5815.8%1st Place
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9.64North Carolina State University1.123.8%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University1.514.0%1st Place
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6.94Cornell University1.968.2%1st Place
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8.56North Carolina State University1.575.1%1st Place
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10.96Bowdoin College0.732.6%1st Place
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8.25University of Miami1.936.7%1st Place
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11.31Fordham University1.132.1%1st Place
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6.21Georgetown University2.209.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martins Atilla | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 27.9% |
| Alex Adams | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Peter Busch | 15.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Usher | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 17.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.