← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+10.23vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College3.78+7.91vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont3.73+7.19vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College4.15+4.01vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.70+4.94vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University4.36+1.22vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.98+0.78vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+1.24vs Predicted
-
10Boston College4.43-3.18vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin4.10-2.42vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida3.48-0.88vs Predicted
-
13Yale University3.80-2.97vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.93-1.01vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University4.31-7.84vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-7.51vs Predicted
-
17Washington College3.65-6.65vs Predicted
-
18Dartmouth College4.06-9.37vs Predicted
-
19Boston University3.35-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
-
9.91Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
-
10.19University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
-
8.01SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
-
9.94Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
-
7.22Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
-
8.78Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
-
10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
-
6.82Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
8.58University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
-
11.12University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
-
10.03Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
-
12.99University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
7.16Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
10.35Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
-
8.63Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
11.32Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Liberty | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Olin Davis | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Colin Smith | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% |
| James Simmons | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 23.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% |
| Sam Williams | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.