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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+6.46vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+7.87vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+7.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+6.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+5.20vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.43+0.91vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+1.78vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78+1.61vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin4.10-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.73+0.19vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.48-0.87vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.31-5.26vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.10vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-6.67vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.06-7.60vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.35-5.41vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.93-4.69vs Predicted
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19Washington College3.65-8.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.87Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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10.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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6.91Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.78Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.61Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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10.19University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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11.13University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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7.74Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.9SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.33St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.4Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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11.59Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.11Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Colin Smith | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Olin Davis | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Sam Williams | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Matt Johnson | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.5% |
| James Simmons | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 26.5% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.