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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.62+0.67vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.46-0.28vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.57-1.17vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.20-1.52vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.09-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67University of Washington0.620.6%1st Place
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2.72University of Oregon-0.460.2%1st Place
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2.83Western Washington University-0.570.2%1st Place
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3.48University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 56.0% | 27.3% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Emily Avey | 17.2% | 27.4% | 28.1% | 21.0% | 6.3% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 16.6% | 23.3% | 28.1% | 24.9% | 7.1% |
| Lauren McClintock | 6.9% | 15.7% | 22.5% | 32.3% | 22.6% |
| Molly McLeod | 3.3% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 17.5% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.