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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+0.89vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58-1.52vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.09+0.39vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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2.89University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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1.48Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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4.39University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.17Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.32University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 13.9% | 29.0% | 26.6% | 18.1% | 9.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 13.6% | 25.7% | 31.7% | 19.0% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 64.3% | 25.6% | 8.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 2.9% | 8.5% | 15.4% | 22.4% | 26.8% | 19.0% | 5.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 14.8% | 23.7% | 32.2% | 16.6% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.8% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 18.7% | 25.3% | 27.8% | 11.0% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 16.4% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.