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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+8.81vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.31+5.56vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.36+4.43vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.73+5.80vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.48+5.88vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College4.15+2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin4.10+1.30vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-1.14vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.70+1.06vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93+3.40vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.65-0.58vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.98-2.81vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-3.50vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.73vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-3.99vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.06-7.42vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-7.52vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.35-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.56Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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8.12SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.42Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.19Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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11.31Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Olin Davis | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| James Simmons | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 26.5% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% |
| Colin Smith | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% |
| Sam Williams | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.