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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+1.86vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58-0.47vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.75+2.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.09-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-3.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
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1.53Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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5.15Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.39University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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2.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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6.31University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 16.2% | 23.6% | 31.4% | 18.4% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Fisher | 62.0% | 27.5% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 14.2% | 22.4% | 34.0% | 15.9% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 1.7% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 26.3% | 27.0% | 11.7% |
| Emily Smith | 3.2% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 25.0% | 24.9% | 18.2% | 6.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 13.5% | 29.0% | 28.0% | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.