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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.50+2.85vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.09+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.09-2.08vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.75-0.83vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Stanford University2.580.7%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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2.87University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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2.92University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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5.17Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.32University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 66.9% | 22.2% | 8.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 19.4% | 26.1% | 26.5% | 11.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 12.6% | 29.5% | 28.9% | 18.4% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Smith | 1.8% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 22.8% | 26.9% | 18.6% | 5.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 13.5% | 27.4% | 28.7% | 18.7% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.1% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 14.6% | 21.7% | 33.3% | 16.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.