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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.53vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.50+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.09-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.99+0.41vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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2.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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2.93University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.39University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.41University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.08Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 62.4% | 25.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 14.2% | 29.1% | 27.9% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 18.0% | 24.7% | 28.0% | 10.7% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 13.8% | 25.8% | 28.7% | 19.8% | 9.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Smith | 3.9% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 24.9% | 25.3% | 17.9% | 6.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 16.7% | 68.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.9% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 23.5% | 33.3% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.