← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.58+0.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-0.09+2.33vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.11vs Predicted
-
4Arizona State University-0.75+1.19vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.12vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.99+0.40vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii1.09-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.52Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
-
4.33University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
-
2.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
-
5.19Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
4.88University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
-
6.4University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
-
2.8University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 63.6% | 24.4% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 3.6% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 27.4% | 24.1% | 17.3% | 5.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 12.5% | 29.2% | 29.1% | 18.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.7% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 23.9% | 34.4% | 14.9% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 27.7% | 27.4% | 10.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 68.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 17.0% | 26.6% | 29.2% | 17.4% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.