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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.45vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.40+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.50+1.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.28vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.09-0.75vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.75-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Stanford University2.580.7%1st Place
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3.53University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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2.72University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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4.25University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.05Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.26University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 66.5% | 24.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 7.7% | 17.4% | 27.1% | 21.5% | 16.6% | 8.1% | 1.6% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.3% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 24.2% | 27.0% | 10.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 15.4% | 34.4% | 24.3% | 16.4% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Emily Smith | 4.2% | 9.6% | 17.9% | 23.3% | 21.5% | 17.4% | 6.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.3% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 30.2% | 16.9% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.