← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.58+0.44vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii0.40+1.56vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.27vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-1.99+2.39vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.25vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University-0.75-0.94vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington-0.09-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.44Stanford University2.580.7%1st Place
-
3.56University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
-
2.73University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
-
6.39University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
-
4.75University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
-
5.06Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
4.07University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 68.0% | 22.5% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 7.1% | 17.3% | 25.8% | 23.4% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Molly Coghlin | 13.4% | 35.6% | 27.4% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 68.9% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.9% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 23.2% | 28.4% | 9.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.4% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 19.9% | 32.7% | 15.4% |
| Emily Smith | 6.0% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 22.2% | 24.1% | 14.4% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.