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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.31+6.63vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin4.10+6.45vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College4.15+5.28vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.70+5.88vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+4.54vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+2.57vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+4.14vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-1.17vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78+0.63vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.48+1.28vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.65-0.58vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.73-1.71vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.36-5.91vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-1.14vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-4.73vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.06-7.48vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.98-8.02vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.35-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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8.28SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.88Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.54Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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6.83Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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11.28University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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10.42Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.86University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.98Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.34Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| Olin Davis | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| James Simmons | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 23.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
| Sam Williams | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Colin Smith | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.