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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+6.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+7.26vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.58+1.71vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.80+3.61vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20-0.09vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13+3.59vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.37-2.58vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+0.42vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.73+0.68vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.36+0.50vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.57-3.84vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.96-6.47vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.70-5.51vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.93-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Harvard University1.905.4%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University1.514.5%1st Place
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4.71Boston College2.5816.6%1st Place
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5.14Roger Williams University2.4013.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Rhode Island1.804.5%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University2.209.8%1st Place
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10.59Fordham University1.132.8%1st Place
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5.42Brown University2.3713.2%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.253.1%1st Place
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10.68Bowdoin College0.732.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Wisconsin0.361.8%1st Place
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8.16North Carolina State University1.575.0%1st Place
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6.53Cornell University1.967.8%1st Place
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8.49Yale University1.705.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Miami1.935.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
| Peter Busch | 16.6% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 17.8% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 18.9% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 28.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Alex Adams | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.