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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Andrew Simpson 19.0% 17.0% 14.1% 15.8% 13.5% 10.7% 7.4% 2.4% 0.1%
Ashton Loring 15.9% 18.0% 15.8% 16.0% 12.5% 11.6% 6.3% 3.5% 0.4%
Kathleen Hale 11.3% 10.9% 13.2% 14.0% 14.3% 14.7% 14.6% 5.6% 1.4%
Andrew Ettlemyer 6.6% 7.7% 10.4% 9.8% 11.7% 14.2% 22.9% 13.1% 3.6%
John Richards 10.2% 13.4% 12.0% 12.5% 11.4% 15.3% 14.9% 8.2% 2.1%
Ian Hoogenboom 12.2% 11.5% 12.3% 12.6% 16.5% 16.8% 11.1% 6.3% 0.7%
Roberto Martelli 21.6% 17.9% 18.6% 13.3% 13.7% 8.6% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Damian Uzonwanne 1.9% 2.3% 2.0% 3.6% 3.4% 5.1% 10.6% 36.2% 34.9%
Matthew Blessington 1.3% 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 3.0% 7.4% 23.4% 56.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.