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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.26+2.62vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.29+1.71vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.20+1.48vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.73+1.34vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.35-0.39vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.18-1.60vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-3.68vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-2.07-0.48vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.49-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.260.2%1st Place
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3.71Clemson University0.290.2%1st Place
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4.48University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.34University of South Carolina-0.730.1%1st Place
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4.61North Carolina State University-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.4Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.32Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.2%1st Place
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7.52The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Tennessee-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Simpson | 19.0% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 15.9% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Kathleen Hale | 11.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 22.9% | 13.1% | 3.6% |
| John Richards | 10.2% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Roberto Martelli | 21.6% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 36.2% | 34.9% |
| Matthew Blessington | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 23.4% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.