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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina-0.60+2.41vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina-0.64+1.58vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.76+0.65vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-1.90+1.48vs Predicted
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5University of Tennessee-2.95+2.11vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-1.08vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-3.41+0.85vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.15-5.70vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-2.59-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41University of North Carolina-0.600.2%1st Place
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3.58University of South Carolina-0.640.1%1st Place
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3.65North Carolina State University-0.760.2%1st Place
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5.48Clemson University-1.900.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Tennessee-2.950.0%1st Place
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4.92University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.1%1st Place
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7.85The Citadel-3.410.0%1st Place
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2.3Duke University0.150.4%1st Place
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6.7Georgia Institute of Technology-2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May Proctor | 16.8% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emma Gouiran | 13.9% | 18.6% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 15.1% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Max Braun | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 11.8% | 4.4% |
| Kate Pierce | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 26.4% | 27.9% |
| Sam Woodley | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Edward Lucas Brady | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 12.2% | 24.0% | 49.6% |
| Ian Connolly | 38.2% | 26.0% | 15.9% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Keller | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 26.6% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.