Race 2A

saisa-south-spring-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eden Nykamp 32.5% 23.6% 15.6% 12.1% 9.0% 4.7% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Smucker 9.6% 9.0% 15.3% 13.2% 15.2% 17.4% 12.3% 5.9% 2.0% 0.1%
Patrick Igoe 21.3% 21.7% 18.5% 16.2% 11.5% 6.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Josh Becher 9.8% 12.2% 14.4% 15.8% 16.1% 14.6% 10.7% 4.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Agija Elerte 13.2% 14.9% 14.4% 16.2% 16.7% 13.3% 6.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Julien Waite 2.2% 3.1% 2.9% 3.6% 5.1% 8.6% 14.8% 28.4% 29.8% 1.5%
Dawson Kohl 7.1% 10.2% 11.7% 13.9% 15.8% 17.7% 14.1% 7.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Zechariah Frantz 2.9% 3.4% 5.1% 6.3% 6.4% 12.4% 21.8% 23.8% 17.2% 0.7%
Nita Holloway 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 2.7% 4.1% 4.7% 13.6% 23.8% 43.4% 2.6%
Max Stevens 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 3.2% 94.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.