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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.78+8.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+9.37vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+7.57vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+8.99vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.73+4.81vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+2.82vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.31+0.38vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.36-1.86vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College4.15-1.93vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin4.10-2.44vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.06-3.38vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.43-5.71vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-2.65vs Predicted
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15Washington College3.65-5.06vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.70-6.03vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.48-5.93vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-9.20vs Predicted
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19Yale University3.80-9.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.88Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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12.99University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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8.82Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.14Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.07SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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11.35Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.94Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.07University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.38Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martland | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% |
| Daniel Liberty | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| James Simmons | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 24.7% |
| Olin Davis | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% |
| Colin Smith | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Sam Williams | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.