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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+4.44vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.80+6.52vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+4.61vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+2.02vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51+4.21vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.70+2.44vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.58-2.25vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40-2.69vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+0.35vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.13+0.75vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.73-0.53vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.93-4.15vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.96-6.31vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.57-5.96vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.36-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Brown University2.3711.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Rhode Island1.804.5%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University1.906.5%1st Place
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6.02Georgetown University2.209.6%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University1.514.3%1st Place
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8.44Yale University1.704.9%1st Place
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4.75Boston College2.5816.1%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University2.4012.0%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.253.6%1st Place
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10.75Fordham University1.132.5%1st Place
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10.47Bowdoin College0.733.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Miami1.935.9%1st Place
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6.69Cornell University1.969.2%1st Place
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8.04North Carolina State University1.575.5%1st Place
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11.57University of Wisconsin0.361.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% |
| Alex Adams | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Peter Busch | 16.1% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 18.7% |
| Shea McGrath | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.