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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+0.77vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+1.34vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64+2.11vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.32-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.20-0.03vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.71vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.59-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Stanford University3.530.5%1st Place
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3.34University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
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4.26California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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4.83University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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7.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.26Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 54.5% | 25.6% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 14.2% | 22.4% | 22.5% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 7.8% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 13.3% |
| Benjamin Stone | 5.4% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.6% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 25.7% | 26.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 39.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.