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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+0.77vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.32+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.64+1.08vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.81vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+0.38vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.59-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.20-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Stanford University3.530.5%1st Place
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3.33University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
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4.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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4.19California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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7.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.26Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.9University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 54.7% | 26.0% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 13.2% | 24.5% | 22.0% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.1% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Stone | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 14.8% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.2% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 23.2% | 38.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 14.5% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 23.7% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.