← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.53+0.77vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.38+1.36vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+1.21vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California0.64+2.10vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington1.32-0.15vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.81vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+0.38vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University0.59-1.73vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.20-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.77Stanford University3.530.6%1st Place
-
3.36University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
-
4.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
-
6.1University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
-
4.85University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
-
4.19California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
-
7.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
6.27Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
6.88University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 55.1% | 25.1% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 13.7% | 23.0% | 22.1% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.0% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Morgana Manti | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 17.3% | 13.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 5.5% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.3% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 22.5% | 39.7% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 15.3% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 23.5% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.