Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Erik Anderson 17.4% 23.1% 21.4% 15.5% 11.9% 6.8% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Thomas Sitzmann 48.3% 30.2% 13.0% 4.6% 3.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Boylan 2.3% 4.0% 5.3% 7.5% 10.5% 15.8% 17.7% 22.2% 14.7%
Morgana Manti 3.1% 4.0% 5.8% 9.7% 13.1% 16.8% 16.8% 15.8% 14.9%
Benjamin Stone 6.0% 10.3% 14.2% 14.9% 13.6% 15.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.1%
Jonathan Seawards 9.8% 11.0% 17.7% 19.6% 16.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.6% 0.9%
Nicholas Mueller 8.7% 12.4% 15.5% 18.6% 18.4% 12.1% 9.0% 4.4% 0.9%
Robert Bloomfield 1.9% 1.8% 3.9% 3.9% 5.8% 9.1% 13.3% 21.6% 38.7%
Wilton Lawton 2.5% 3.2% 3.2% 5.7% 7.4% 10.4% 19.2% 22.6% 25.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.