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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+0.75vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+1.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.20+2.86vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.64+1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.32-1.08vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.59-0.65vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.70vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Stanford University3.530.5%1st Place
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3.31University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
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4.23University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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6.35Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.21California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 54.7% | 26.2% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 13.7% | 23.4% | 22.6% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.1% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Wilton Lawton | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 22.2% | 26.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 14.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 5.6% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 20.6% | 14.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 20.9% | 38.7% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.4% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.