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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+2.15vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.32+3.14vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.53-1.20vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64+2.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-0.89vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.59+0.28vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-2.78vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.20-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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5.14University of Washington1.320.0%1st Place
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1.8Stanford University3.530.5%1st Place
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6.11University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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6.28Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.22California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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7.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 17.0% | 24.0% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 4.6% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 51.6% | 27.9% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 14.7% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 9.6% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 17.5% | 15.9% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.0% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 22.9% | 38.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 23.9% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.