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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+0.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+2.35vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.25vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.38-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.64+1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.32-1.07vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.59-0.68vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.20-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78Stanford University3.530.5%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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4.25California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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6.06University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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6.32Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 53.0% | 27.4% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 6.2% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.1% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 18.2% | 23.9% | 23.0% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 14.5% |
| Benjamin Stone | 5.4% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 13.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 21.9% | 38.4% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 24.5% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.