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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+6.09vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+7.97vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+7.59vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+4.39vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+4.50vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+2.86vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.31+0.37vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.48+2.83vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin4.10-0.79vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.36-2.56vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+0.23vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.73-1.67vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College4.15-5.06vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.76vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.70-5.06vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.35-4.41vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.93-3.64vs Predicted
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19Washington College3.65-8.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.97Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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10.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.39Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.5Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.86Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.83University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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7.44Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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7.94SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.94Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.59Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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13.36University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.1Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Sam Williams | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Colin Smith | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% |
| Olin Davis | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Matt Johnson | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.9% |
| James Simmons | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 26.3% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.