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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+4.27vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.37+3.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.70+5.69vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+3.57vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.57+3.20vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+3.35vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.58-2.20vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.51+1.32vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.80-0.35vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.73+0.43vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.13-0.26vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-6.24vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.93-5.19vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.96-7.47vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.36-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Roger Williams University2.4013.7%1st Place
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5.44Brown University2.3711.7%1st Place
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8.69Yale University1.705.7%1st Place
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7.57Harvard University1.906.5%1st Place
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8.2North Carolina State University1.574.6%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.253.1%1st Place
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4.8Boston College2.5814.8%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University1.513.9%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island1.804.5%1st Place
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10.43Bowdoin College0.733.0%1st Place
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10.74Fordham University1.132.2%1st Place
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5.76Georgetown University2.2010.7%1st Place
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7.81University of Miami1.935.5%1st Place
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6.53Cornell University1.968.2%1st Place
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11.46University of Wisconsin0.361.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Pfrang | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
Blake Behrens | 11.7% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Alex Adams | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
Sarah Burn | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
Kevin Gosselin | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
Max Katz-Christy | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
Peter Busch | 14.8% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Connor Rosow | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
Declan Botwinick | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
Shea McGrath | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 17.3% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 19.5% |
Piper Holthus | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Aidan Dennis | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
Winborne Majette | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
Marissa Tegeder | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.