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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+0.80vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.64+4.37vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.38+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.32+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-0.90vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+1.27vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-2.78vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.59-1.75vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.20-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Stanford University3.530.5%1st Place
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6.37University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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3.21University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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4.9University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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7.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.22California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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6.25Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 52.6% | 26.7% | 12.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 16.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 15.4% | 23.3% | 21.7% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 5.8% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 9.2% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 24.3% | 35.7% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.7% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 15.6% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 22.0% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.