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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+1.21vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University0.59+2.88vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.20+1.50vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.89vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.64-1.20vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Hawaii2.380.4%1st Place
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4.88Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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3.11California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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4.8University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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3.78University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 40.0% | 25.6% | 17.3% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Boylan | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 23.2% |
| Benjamin Stone | 12.3% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 5.5% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 40.3% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 17.7% | 25.1% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.5% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 22.6% | 21.3% |
| Jasper Reid | 13.9% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 13.0% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.