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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.48+1.65vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.38-0.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+0.18vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.59+0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.32-2.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.20-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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3.65University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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2.33University of Hawaii2.380.4%1st Place
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4.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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5.1Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 19.9% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 14.2% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 6.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 35.4% | 27.7% | 18.1% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Jasper Reid | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 16.3% | 10.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 24.6% | 27.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 10.9% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 8.4% |
| Wilton Lawton | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.