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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+0.34vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+0.19vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.59+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.20-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.48-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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2.34University of Hawaii2.380.4%1st Place
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3.96University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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4.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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5.13Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.61University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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3.57University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 20.6% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Erik Anderson | 35.4% | 27.7% | 17.9% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 10.9% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 8.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 10.2% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 18.5% | 9.8% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 24.5% | 28.6% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 20.3% | 44.2% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 14.5% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.