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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+1.48vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48+0.83vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.32-0.89vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.59-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.20-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Hawaii2.380.4%1st Place
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3.34University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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3.83University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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3.43California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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4.11University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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5.2Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.6University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 35.3% | 24.0% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.6% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 12.4% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 7.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 17.1% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 3.8% |
| Benjamin Stone | 9.0% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 9.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 27.4% | 28.8% |
| Wilton Lawton | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 19.8% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.