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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.48+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.38-1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.32-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.20-0.28vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.59-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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3.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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2.5University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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4.14University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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5.09Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 18.2% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 11.9% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 6.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.9% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 3.8% |
| Erik Anderson | 34.2% | 22.7% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.2% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 9.8% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 48.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 27.9% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.