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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+2.97vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.48-0.13vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.56vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.59-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.20-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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2.46University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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3.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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3.44California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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5.23Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 8.3% |
| Erik Anderson | 34.0% | 24.5% | 18.4% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.6% | 16.0% | 21.2% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 13.3% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 6.4% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 15.3% | 21.0% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 4.3% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 26.1% | 29.5% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 20.4% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.