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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+1.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.48-0.16vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.54vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.20-0.27vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.59-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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3.32University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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3.46California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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5.73University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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5.09Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 34.7% | 24.1% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.2% | 21.2% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 10.6% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 9.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 13.5% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 6.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 15.2% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 4.6% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 20.4% | 47.9% |
| Aidan Boylan | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 26.4% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.