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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.32+2.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.38-1.49vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.20-0.29vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.59-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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3.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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2.51University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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3.45California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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5.1Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 14.9% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 7.7% |
| Benjamin Stone | 10.0% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 8.7% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.0% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
| Erik Anderson | 33.0% | 23.8% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 15.2% | 21.1% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 4.3% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 47.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 27.9% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.