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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+2.30vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+0.45vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48+0.85vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.20+0.75vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.59-0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.32-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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2.45University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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3.85University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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3.44California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.2%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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5.24Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.97University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 18.7% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Erik Anderson | 31.9% | 28.2% | 18.3% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 12.8% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 6.3% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 17.4% | 16.0% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 19.9% | 49.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 25.9% | 30.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 12.0% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 21.1% | 15.6% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.