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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College4.15+7.13vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin4.10+6.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+6.58vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.36+2.92vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+3.58vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.48+4.76vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.43-0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93+4.81vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.70+0.79vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-1.37vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.73-1.20vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-1.52vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-4.86vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-3.06vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.31-7.87vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.78-6.46vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-7.07vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.65-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.58Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.58Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.76University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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6.73Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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12.81University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.79Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.63St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.94Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.54Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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13.81Washington College2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Murray | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Colin Smith | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| James Simmons | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 20.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Olin Davis | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Sam Williams | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
| Dan Ricker | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.