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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+5.87vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.26+6.78vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.27+1.78vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+4.35vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.02+0.36vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.84+0.91vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.27+0.87vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.44-0.23vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-2.76vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.64-2.59vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.20-2.98vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.76-1.10vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.71-2.81vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.31-2.45vs Predicted
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15Harvard University-0.08-2.18vs Predicted
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16Yale University0.07-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Brown University1.697.8%1st Place
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8.78North Carolina State University1.264.3%1st Place
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4.78Georgetown University2.2716.2%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.405.0%1st Place
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5.36Boston College2.0214.1%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University1.848.0%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University1.276.1%1st Place
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7.77Cornell University1.445.5%1st Place
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6.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8010.4%1st Place
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7.41University of Miami1.646.8%1st Place
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8.02University of Rhode Island1.205.7%1st Place
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10.9Bowdoin College0.762.4%1st Place
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10.19Fordham University0.713.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Wisconsin0.312.1%1st Place
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12.82Harvard University-0.081.0%1st Place
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12.17Yale University0.071.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Peter Barnard | 16.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 14.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Andy Yu | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Steven Hardee | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Max Sigel | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 11.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 7.1% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 16.2% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 33.6% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.