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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.87vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58-0.48vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09-0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.09+0.38vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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1.52Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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2.9University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.17Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.31University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 15.1% | 28.0% | 27.2% | 17.9% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Fisher | 63.8% | 24.2% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 13.7% | 26.7% | 30.2% | 18.6% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Emily Smith | 3.0% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 23.2% | 26.1% | 18.9% | 5.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 24.2% | 32.0% | 16.7% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.4% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 19.3% | 25.2% | 27.9% | 10.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 16.4% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.