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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.86vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58-1.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.09-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.99+0.41vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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2.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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1.49Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.39University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.41University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.04Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 13.6% | 28.2% | 26.8% | 19.7% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 14.2% | 26.9% | 30.6% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 64.0% | 25.5% | 8.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 1.8% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 26.2% | 27.9% | 11.3% |
| Emily Smith | 3.4% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 26.1% | 26.2% | 17.5% | 5.6% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 16.1% | 69.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.7% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 23.5% | 33.3% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.